Skeptical Science New Research for Week #52 2024

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science / science 6 Views comments

& Open access notables

Trends in Oceanic Precipitation Characteristics Inferred From Shipboard Present-Weather Reports, 1950&-2019, Tran & Petty,& Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres:

Although ship reports are susceptible to subjective interpretation, the inferred distributions of these phenomena are consistent with observations from other platforms such as satellites and coastal surface stations. These distributions highlight widespread 70-year trends that are often consistent across both annual and seasonal frequencies, with statistical significance at 95% confidence. The relative frequency of ship-reported drizzle has largely increased in the tropics annually and seasonally, with linear best-fit relative increases by as much as 15% per decade. Decreased relative frequencies have been observed in parts of the subtropics and at higher latitudes. Heavier precipitation has encompassed a growing fraction of non-drizzle precipitation reports over the subtropical North Pacific and Mediterranean. The relative frequency of thunderstorm reports has declined over the open Atlantic but show positive trends over the Mediterranean and the western Atlantic. The trends in relative frozen precipitation occurrence suggest a poleward retreat of areas receiving frozen precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere. Possible mechanisms for these ship-observed trends are discussed and placed in the context of the modeled effects of climate change on global precipitation.

Increase Asymmetric Warming Rates Between Daytime and Nighttime Temperatures Over Global Land During Recent Decades, Liu et al.,& Geophysical Research Letters:

Global climate change is causing uneven warming patterns, which significantly affect how ecosystems exchange water and carbon. One important way to understand this is through the diurnal temperature range (DTR), which measures the difference between daytime and nighttime temperatures. In this study, we examined DTR changes globally from 1961 to 2022 using a method called ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). We discovered that the overall trend in DTR reversed around 1988, changing from a decline to an increase, which affected nearly half of the world's land areas. Subsequent to the reversal, the most pronounced increases were observed in temperate regions, whereas tropical areas exhibited a more subdued rate of rise. Interestingly, we found that the rate of increase in DTR is stronger in southern latitudes compared to northern latitudes.&

Near-term carbon dioxide removal deployment can minimize disruptive pace of decarbonization and economic risks towards United States’ net-zero goal, Adun et al.,& Communications Earth & Environment:

Deep decarbonization is essential for achieving the Paris Agreement goals, and carbon dioxide removal is required to address residual emissions and achieve net-zero targets. However, the implications of delaying the deployment of removal technologies remain& unclear.& We quantify how different carbon removal methods& and their deployment& timing& affect achieving net zero emissions& by 2050 in the United States.& Our findings show& that& postponing novel technologies& until mid-century forces accelerated decarbonization of energy-intensive sectors, reducing residual emissions by at least 12% compared& with near-term deployment of carbon dioxide removal. This delay increases& transition& costs, requiring carbon prices 59&-79% higher than with near-term deployment. It& also heightens the risk of premature fossil& fuel retirement in the& electricity sector, leading to 128&-220 billion USD losses& compared to gradual scale up starting now. A balanced, near-term co-deployment of novel removal& methods mitigates risks associated with relying on a single& approach& and& addresses sustainability and scalability concerns.

A New Heat Stress Index for Climate Change Assessment, Lanzante,& Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:

The heat index (HI), based on Steadman’s model of thermoregulation, estimates heat stress on the human body from ambient temperature and humidity. It has been used widely both in applications, such as the issuance of heat advisories by the National Weather Service (NWS) and for research on possible changes in the future due to climate change. However, temperature/humidity combinations that exceed the applicable range of the model are becoming more common due to climate warming. Recent work by Lu and Romps has produced an extended heat index (EHI), which is valid for values outside the range of the original HI. For these values, the HI can underestimate the EHI by a considerable amount. This work utilizes observed data from 15 U.S. weather stations along with bias-adjusted output from a climate model to explore the spatial and temporal aspects of the disparity between the HI and the EHI from the recent past out to the end of the twenty-first century. The underestimate of human heat stress by the HI is found to be the largest for the most extreme cases (5°&-10°C), which are also the most impactful. Conditions warranting NWS excessive heat warnings are found to increase dramatically from less than 5% of days historically at most stations to more than 90% in the future at some stations.& &

Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making, Sillmann et al.,& Frontiers in Climate

The World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) envisions a future where actionable climate information is universally accessible, supporting decision makers in preparing for and responding to climate change. In this perspective, we advocate for enhancing links between climate science and decision-making through a better and more decision-relevant understanding of climate impacts. The proposed framework comprises three pillars: climate science, impact science, and decision-making, focusing on generating seamless climate information from sub-seasonal, seasonal, decadal to century timescales informed by observed climate events and their impacts.

From this weeks government/NGO section:

Balancing Act. Assessing Risks and Governance of Climate Intervention,& Porambo et al.,& Applied Physics Laboratory, Johns Hopkins University

Nations, organizations, and individuals may soon look to climate intervention, also known as geoengineering, as a means to avoid the most severe effects of climate change. Despite the hope that climate intervention may prevent the increasingly dire climate change projections from becoming reality, the efficacy of many climate intervention methods remains uncertain. Moreover, many methods pose their own risks to the environment, global ecosystems, and critical human systems. These uncertainties and risks, when combined with the relatively few barriers to unilateral deployment for many methods, drive the need for national and international regulation of climate intervention research, testing, development, and deployment. The authors summarize the effects of two controversial climate intervention methods—stratospheric aerosol injection and ocean iron fertilization—on national security, considering their abilities to both stop and reverse the effects of climate change and the possible direct, unintended environmental changes. It then examines governance principles for climate intervention from a combined national security and technical perspective, deriving principles for addressing climate intervention research, governance, and possible use and making recommendations for the path forward.

Producer perceptions of environmental sustainability and climate change. 2024 national poll of farmers and ranchers,& Leger,& Farmers for Climate Solutions

When farmers and ranchers were asked an open-ended question—at the very beginning of the poll—about the top challenge for the agricultural sector for the next decade, climate change was the number one answer. 76% of farmers and ranchers report being impacted by severe weather in the past five years. Producers are worried that climate change will bring more restrictive policies and regulations, reduce income and yields, and negatively affect their mental health. 87% of farmers and ranchers consider themselves good stewards of the land, and 47% feel they can do more to improve environmental outcomes in their operations. Producers want a range of supports to adopt high resilience, low emissions practices, including technical support and training, financial incentives, risk management tools, and price premiums for sustainable products.

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139 articles in 52 journals by 858 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship, Jarvis & Forster, Nature Geoscience Open Access 10.1038/s41561-024-01580-5

Impact of Canadian wildfires on aerosol and ice clouds in the early-autumn Arctic, Sato et al., Atmospheric Research Open Access 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107893

Irreversible changes in the sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection to CO2 forcing, Park et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01751-7

Links Between Internal Variability and Forced Climate Feedbacks: The Importance of Patterns of Temperature Variability and Change, Davis et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl112774

Reductions in atmospheric levels of non-CO2 greenhouse gases explain about a quarter of the 1998-2012 warming slowdown, Su et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01723-x

Observations of climate change, effects

20th century climate warming and human disturbance triggered high aquatic production and strong water-column mixing in maar Lake Xiaolongwan, northeastern China, Tu et al., Anthropocene 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100442

Assessment of the global ocean heat content and North Atlantic heat transport over 1993&-2020, Liu et al., npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Open Access 10.1038/s41612-024-00860-6

Growing aridity poses threats to global land surface, Sardans et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01935-1

Impacts of changing atmospheric circulations and declining spring Barents Sea ice on more frequent summer heatwave in Southern China, Wang et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107874

Increase Asymmetric Warming Rates Between Daytime and Nighttime Temperatures Over Global Land During Recent Decades, Liu et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl112832

Unraveling the roles of jet streams on the unprecedented hot July in Western Europe in 2022, Li et al., npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Open Access 10.1038/s41612-024-00880-2

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

A new model to estimate daytime net surface radiation under all sky conditions, Foyo-Moreno et al., Atmospheric Research 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107886

Estimation of Break and Noise Variance and the Maximum Distance of Climate Stations Allowed in Relative Homogenisation of Annual Temperature Anomalies, Lindau, International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8724

Monthly High-Resolution Historical Climate Data for North& America Since 1901, Wang et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8726

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

An intensification of surface Earth’s energy imbalance since the late 20th century, Li et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01802-z

Association between heat and upper urinary tract stones morbidity and medical costs: A study in the subtropical humid climate zone, Yang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.001

Changes of the trace metals in ice core during 1915?2016 in coastal eastern Antarctica, Liu et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.003

Characteristics of life-cycle carbon dioxide emissions of arterial highway maintenance and the influencing factors, Wang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.009

Comparison of bulk snow density measurements using different methods, Su et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.005

Corrigendum to “Winter extreme precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau influenced by Arctic sea ice on interdecadal timescale” [Adv. Clim. Change Res. 15 (2024) 42&-51], Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.004

Evaluation and simulation of terrestrial latent heat flux globally: A collaborative effort utilizing CMIP6 climate models and eddy covariance observations, Tian et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110371

Evaluation of the performance of WRF9km in simulating climate over the upper Yellow River Basin, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.003

Global assessment of hydrogen production from the electrical grid aiming the Brazilian transportation sector, Silva Junior & da Silva, Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101626

Hourly land surface temperature retrieval over the Tibetan Plateau using Geo-LightGBM framework: Fusion of Himawari-8 satellite, ERA5 and site observations, Liu et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.06.007

How China's transport sector responds to carbon neutrality target: A study from a multi-model comparison analysis, Yan et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101627

Impact of ambient temperatures on Alzheimer's disease and other dementia mortality among elderly patients aged 60 years and older in China, Zhang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.002

Impact of current and historical climate shocks on crop diversification in Zambia: Insights from household- and district-level observations, Wang et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100683

Impact of extreme seasonal drought on ecosystem carbon?water& coupling& across China, Huang & Zhai, Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.08.001

Impacts of Climate Change on Arctic Winter Cyclones, Zhang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2024jd041503

Investigating the dynamics and interactions of surface features on Pine Island Glacier using remote sensing and deep learning, Zhu et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.011

Monitoring ground temperature and deformation of the cast-in-place footings in permafrost regions on the Qinghai?Tibet Plateau, Wang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.08.002

More than three-fold increase in compound soil and air dryness across Europe by the end of 21st century, Shekhar et al., Open Access 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3143908/v2

Projected phenological shifts in stratification and overturning of ice-covered Northern Hemisphere lakes, Huang et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01953-z

Response of the Mediterranean Sea Surface Circulation at Various Global Warming Levels: A Multi-Model Approach, Parras?Berrocal et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl111695

Role of anthropogenic forcing in Antarctic sea ice variability simulated in climate models, Morioka et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-54485-7

The Effect of Pseudo-Global Warming on the Weather-Climate System of Africa in a Convection-Permitting Model, Núñez Ocasio & Dougherty Dougherty, Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl112341

Thermal and hydrological processes in permafrost slope wetlands affect thermosyphon embankment stability, Tai et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.010

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

An improved and extended parameterization of the CO2 15 µm cooling in the middle and upper atmosphere (CO2&cool&fort-1.0), López-Puertas et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4401-2024

CARIB12: a regional Community Earth System Model/Modular Ocean Model 6 configuration of the Caribbean Sea, Seijo-Ellis et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-8989-2024

Inter-Model Uncertainty in Projecting Precipitation Changes Over Central Asia Under Global Warming, Yao et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl111989

Lightweight climate models could be useful for assessing aviation mitigation strategies and moving beyond the CO2-equivalence metrics debate, Arriolabengoa et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01888-5

The Source of the Uncertainties in CMIP6 Model's Projections of the Summertime Northwest Pacific Subtropical High, Yang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 10.1029/2024jd041854

Cryosphere & climate change

Characteristics of Musta Glacier surges and their responses to climate change between 1976 and 2023, GAO et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.007

Greenland Ice Sheet Elevation Change From CryoSat-2 and ICESat-2, Ravinder et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl110822

Record-low Antarctic sea ice in 2023 increased ocean heat loss and storms, Josey et al., Nature Open Access 10.1038/s41586-024-08368-y

Sea level & climate change

Salt-wedge estuary's response to rising sea level, reduced discharge, and Nature-Based Solution, Verri et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2024.1408038

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

Late Miocene-early Pliocene hydroclimate evolution of the western Altiplano, northern Chile: Implications for aridification trends under warming climate conditions, Mentzer et al., Global and Planetary Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104674

Response of atmospheric CO2 changes to the Abyssal Pacific overturning during the last glacial cycle, Zhang et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104636

The Hunt for Holocene Abrupt Climate Change, Scroxton & McKay, PLOS Climate Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000547

Were early Archean carbonate factories major carbon sinks on the juvenile Earth?, Xiang et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-5653-2024

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

Effects of Vegetation Restoration Type on Soil Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Associated Microbial Regulation on the Loess Plateau, Zhou et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.70688

Estimating a physiological threshold to oxygen and temperature from marine monitoring data reveals challenges and opportunities for forecasting distribution shifts, Indivero et al., Ecography Open Access 10.1111/ecog.07413

Evaluating Water Use Efficiency and CO? Absorption in Plants under Rising Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Levels, Boretti, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106409

Even protected seaweeds must face a warming ocean: Sea surface temperatures trigger tissue bleaching and breakdown in the unique giant Irish moss (Chondrus crispus), Gibbons et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106907

Freeze-thaw process boosts penguin-derived NH3 emissions and enhances climate-relevant particles formation in Antarctica, Tian et al., npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Open Access 10.1038/s41612-024-00873-1

High- and low-temperature stress responses of Porites lutea from the relatively high-latitude region of the South China Sea, Huang et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106858

How does the coral microbiome mediate its natural host fitness under climate stress conditions? Physiological, molecular, and biochemical mechanisms, Abdelghany et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106920

Long-term warming and acidification interaction drives plastic acclimation in the diatom Pseudo-nitzschia multiseries, Sun et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106901

Major distribution shifts are projected for key rangeland grasses under a high-emission scenario in East Africa at the end of the 21st century, Messmer et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01731-x

Model-based impact analysis of climate change and land-use intensification on trophic networks, Neumann et al., Ecography Open Access 10.1111/ecog.07533

Mortality Patterns and Recovery Challenges in Millepora alcicornis after mass bleaching event on Northeast Brazilian Reefs, Vidal et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106864

Performance of Acanthina monodon juveniles under long-term exposure to predicted climate change conditions, Paredes-Molina et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106855

Quantifying the Evolution of Extreme Drought Under Climate Change and Its Impacts on Vegetation Productivity Over the Hai River Basin of China, Yao et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8727

Recurrent marine heatwaves compromise the reproduction success and long-term viability of shallow populations of the Mediterranean gorgonian Eunicella singularis, Sarda et al., Marine Environmental Research Open Access 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106822

The trade-offs associated with the adaptions of marine microalgae to high CO2 and warming, Liang et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106853

Winners and Losers From Climate Change: An Analysis of Climate Thresholds for Tree Growth and Survival for Roughly 150 Species Across the Contiguous United States, Clark et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17597

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

Annual grass invasions and wildfire deplete ecosystem carbon storage by >50% to resistant base levels, Maxwell et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01795-9

Effects of fire intensity on carbon dioxide exchange in an arctic dry heath tundra, Xu & Ambus Lambæk, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110362

GHG emissions intensity analysis. Case study: Bioethanol plant with cogeneration and partial CO2 recovery, Galván et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101598

Interactive effects of management and temperature anomalies on CO2 fluxes recorded over 18 years in a temperate upland grassland system, Winck et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110343

Predicting CO2 and CH4 fluxes and their seasonal variations in a subarctic wetland under two shared socioeconomic pathway climate scenarios, Zhao et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110359

Rethinking microbial carbon use efficiency in soil models, Allison, Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-02217-6

Seasonal CO2 amplitude in northern high latitudes, Liu et al., Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-024-00600-7

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Study of atmospheric CH4, CO2 and N2O at Waliguan WMO/GAW global station: Time series trend, seasonal variation, and attribution analysis association with meteorological factors, Wei et al., Atmospheric Environment 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120994

The presence of the Tibetan Plateau lowers atmospheric CO2 levels via the Atlantic-Pacific carbon seesaw, Du et al., Global and Planetary Change 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104681

Vapor pressure deficit and temperature variability drive future changes to carbon sink stability in China’s terrestrial ecosystems, Zhou et al., Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1518578

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

Advancing the frontiers of CO2 geological storage: A statistical and computational perspective, Li et al., Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104906

National Forest Restoration Projects in China: Cost-Efficiency, and Trade-Off Between Carbon Sequestration and Water Consumption, Zhang et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004976

Strong El Niño and La Niña precipitation—sea surface temperature sensitivity under a carbon removal scenario, Liu et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01958-8

Decarbonization

Fuel shifts reduce most of the greenhouse gas emissions from transportation in the United States, Horesh & Quinn, Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01924-4

Geoengineering climate

Responses of microbial metabolic rates to non-equilibrated silicate- versus calcium-based ocean alkalinity enhancement, Marín-Samper et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-5707-2024

Climate change communications & cognition

A meta-ethnography of global research on the mental health and emotional impacts of climate change on older adults, Marinova et al., Journal of Environmental Psychology Open Access 10.1016/j.jenvp.2024.102511

Americans’ support for climate justice, Carman et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103976

Climate change perceptions in China: the relationship between environmental mental imagery and environmental values, beliefs, and behaviors, Yangli et al., Journal of Environmental Psychology 10.1016/j.jenvp.2024.102513

Predicting the Performance of Facebook Advertisements About Climate Change Using Self-report Data, Goldberg et al., Environmental Communication 10.1080/17524032.2024.2441936

Worry’s Clout: Concern, Not Positive Affectivity, Drives Climate Activism, Bechtoldt & Schermelleh-Engel, Journal of Environmental Psychology Open Access 10.1016/j.jenvp.2024.102517

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Adaptation of rice to climate change in high-latitude regions of China: Will price expectation make differences?, Yu & Tian, Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2024.2442590

Can crop production agglomeration reduce carbon emissions?—empirical evidence from China, Han et al., Frontiers in Environmental Science Open Access 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1516238

Feasibility analysis of expanding winter rapeseed northwards in China, Fan et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110297

Forest fertilization transiently increases soil CO2 efflux in young Norway spruce stands in Sweden, Håkansson et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110287

Lower methane and nitrous oxide emissions from rice-aquaculture co-culture systems than from rice paddies in southeast China,, Fang et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109540

Modeling biochar effects on soil organic carbon on croplands in a microbial decomposition model (MIMICS-BC&v1.0), Han et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4871-2024

Past and Future Climate-Driven Changes of Agricultural Land in Central Europe, Torbenson et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl112363

Process-based modeling framework for sustainable irrigation management at the regional scale: Integrating rice production, water use, and greenhouse gas emissions, Bo et al., Open Access 10.5194/gmd-2024-212

Seasonal patterns of CO2 exchange in a tropical intensively managed pasture in Southeastern Brazil, Bianchini et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110324

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

Comparing extreme rainfall exposure to climate-focused planning efforts: A mixed methods analysis in the northeastern United States, Miller et al., Urban Climate 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102258

Simulation and Future Projections of Reference Evapotranspiration in Egypt, Sobh et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8730

Trends in Oceanic Precipitation Characteristics Inferred From Shipboard Present-Weather Reports, 1950&-2019, Tran & Petty, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2024jd041705

Vegetation Greening Mitigates the Impacts of Increasing Extreme Rainfall on Runoff Events, Ficklin et al., Earth's Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004661

Climate change mitigation public policy research

A just energy transition is not just a transition: Framing energy justice for a quantitative assessment, Rios-Ocampo et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103900

A low-carbon electricity transition for small island developing states: The case of Mauritius, Jaggeshar et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101638

An Integrated Assessment of Technological Pathways and Socioeconomic Impacts for Sustainable Power System Transition in Indonesia, Purwanto et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.11.005

Assessing the effectiveness of energy policies in accelerating renewable energy-based mini-grid deployment: A case study, Nyarko et al., Energy for Sustainable Development Open Access 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101631

Assessing the energy efficiency gains of climate legislation: a global perspective, Hu et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2024.2444456

Climate change disclosure and carbon performance of Chinese listed companies: exploring the moderating effects of climate governance and corporate environmental governance, Zhang, Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2024.1469899

Decarbonising the rental housing market: An experimental analysis of tenants’ preferences for clean energy features of residential buildings, Reidl & Wüstenhagen, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114472

Emissions trading systems: Trading removals?, La Hoz Theuer et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2024.2434092

Energy storage and clean energy transitions, Feng & Lazkano Bektas Lill Omojola Bae Mammadzade Karavias Yang Liu, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114447

Evaluating the role of the oil and gas industry in energy transition in oil-producing countries: A systematic literature review, Dongo & Relvas, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103905

Evidence on local climate policies achieving emission reduction targets by 2030, Franco et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102242

Fossil fuel subsidy reform, distributive justice and civil unrest, Belgioioso & Newman, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103868

Indian power sector decarbonization: Net-zero by 2050 or 2070, Evans et al., International Journal of Radiation Oncology*Biology*Physics Open Access 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2006.07.473

Market perspective on climate actions and clean energy transition, Xia, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114470

Navigating climate policy: The influence of lobbying trends and narratives in Europe, Errichiello et al., Environmental Science & Policy 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103974

Near-term carbon dioxide removal deployment can minimize disruptive pace of decarbonization and economic risks towards United States’ net-zero goal, Adun et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01916-4

Policy preference for a net zero carbon economy: Results from a US national survey, Fikru, Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114479

Public perceptions of mineral criticality and preferences for energy transition strategies in the United States, Fikru & Koppera, Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01944-0

Speeding-up wind energy developments: Exploring notions of acceleration and justice in regions within Germany and the Netherlands, Hielscher et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103909

The impact of emissions trading systems on technological innovation for climate change mitigation: a systematic review, Chen et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2024.2443464

The landscape of city-level GHG emission accounts in Africa, Liu et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology Open Access 10.1111/jiec.13562

The UK's border carbon leakage trilemma, Lydgate & Winters, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114393

Unpacking the politics of Nature-based Solutions governance: Making space for transformative change, Hafferty et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103979

“We don't have time”: How imaginaries of urgent energy system change marginalise locally driven pathways, Unsworth et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103888

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

A systematic review of justice integration to climate resilience: Current trends and future directions, Pellerey et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102250

Climate change impact on the architecture and built environment dwellers’ well-being in Niger Delta Region: a systematic review, Dimuna et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2024.1498938

Giving up land? Explaining planned retreat in times of climate change, Pot et al., Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2024.2437422

Redefining maladaptation to climate change: a conceptual examination of the unintended consequences of adaptation strategies on ecological-human systems, Rouzaneh & Savari, Frontiers in Forests and Global Change Open Access 10.3389/ffgc.2024.1506295

Stabilising CO2 concentration as a channel for global disaster risk mitigation, Lu & Tambakis, Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-024-79437-5

Climate change impacts on human health

A New Heat Stress Index for Climate Change Assessment, Lanzante, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-24-0030.1

Efficient and Accurate Shortcuts for Calculating the Extended Heat Index, Lanzante, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 10.1175/jamc-d-24-0081.1

Local communities’ perceptions on malaria prevalence in the face of climate change in Chimanimani District, Zimbabwe, Manyangadze et al., Climate and Development 10.1080/17565529.2024.2435474

Physiological response to exercise in the heat: Implications for risk mitigation and adaptation, Criddle et al., Temperature 10.1080/23328940.2024.2431402

Virginia Heat Watch: Collaboration to assess climate vulnerability at local to regional scales, Lookingbill et al., Urban Climate Open Access 10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102252

Climate change & geopolitics

ASEAN’s climate change mitigation and adaptation measures: abandoning stagnant policy responses, Putra, Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2024.1488560

Other

Nutrient management offsets the effect of deoxygenation and warming on nitrous oxide emissions in a large US estuary, Tang et al., Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.adq5014

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Actions before agreement,& Columbia Law Review Open Access 10.2307/1111574

Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making, Sillmann et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Climate scientists gird for Trump administration, Voosen, Science 10.1126/science.adv4100

Editorial for the 30th anniversary special issue: Decarbonisation for sustainable development, Urmee et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101635

Engaging young generations in climate research, Cheng, Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-024-02226-5


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Sustainable Aviation Fuel Blending and Logistics, Kristi Moriarty and Robert McCormick, National Renewable Energy Laboratory

The authors updated a previous report to address current market needs and account for more production plants coming online, as well as more commitments from the aviation industry. The authors focus on the United States market.

Fast, scalable, clean, and cheap enough. How off-grid solar microgrids can power the AI race, Baranko et al., Scale Microgrid and PACES

Could off-grid solar microgrids in the US be big enough, fast enough, and cheap enough to be a compelling near-term alternative to building more natural gas power plants to meet near-term AI energy needs? If yes, what would that look like and how would one do it? Off-grid solar microgrids are categorically faster than new grid interconnections (5+year queues) as well as off-grid colocated gas turbines (3+ year lead times). Off-grid solar microgrids today are near cost parity with natural gas and ch

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