At this week’s American Physical Society Global Physics Summit in Anaheim, California, John Preskill spoke at an event celebrating 100 years of groundbreaking advances in quantum mechanics. Here are his remarks.
Welcome, everyone, to this celebration of 100 years of quantum mechanics hosted by the Physical Review Journals. I’m John Preskill and I’m honored by this opportunity to speak today. I was asked by our hosts to express some thoughts appropriate to this occasion and to feel free to share my own personal journey as a physicist. I’ll embrace that charge, including the second part of it, perhaps even more that they intended. But over the next 20 minutes I hope to distill from my own experience some lessons of broader interest.
I began graduate study in 1975, the midpoint of the first 100 years of quantum mechanics, 50 years ago and 50 years after the discovery of quantum mechanics in 1925 that we celebrate here. So I’ll seize this chance to look back at where quantum physics stood 50 years ago, how far we’ve come since then, and what we can anticipate in the years ahead.
As an undergraduate at Princeton, I had many memorable teachers; I’ll mention just one: John Wheeler, who taught a full-year course for sophomores that purported to cover all of physics. Wheeler, having worked with Niels Bohr on nuclear fission, seemed implausibly old, though he was actually 61. It was an idiosyncratic course, particularly because Wheeler did not refrain from sharing with the class his current research obsessions. Black holes were a topic he shared with particular relish, including the controversy at the time concerning whether evidence for black holes had been seen by astronomers. Especially notably, when covering the second law of thermodynamics, he challenged us to ponder what would happen to entropy lost behind a black hole horizon, something that had been addressed by Wheeler’s graduate student Jacob Bekenstein, who had finished his PhD that very year. Bekenstein’s remarkable conclusion that black holes have an intrinsic entropy proportional to the event horizon area delighted the class, and I’ve had had many occasions to revisit that insight in the years since then. The lesson being that we should not underestimate the potential impact of sharing our research ideas with undergraduate students.
Stephen Hawking made that connection between entropy and area precise the very next year when he discovered that black holes radiate; his resulting formula for black hole entropy, a beautiful synthesis of relativity, quantum theory, and thermodynamics ranks as one of the shining achievements in the first 100 years of quantum mechanics. And it raised a deep puzzle pointed out by Hawking himself with which we have wrestled since then, still without complete success — what happens to information that disappears inside black holes?
Hawking’s puzzle ignited a titanic struggle between cherished principles. Quantum mechanics tells us that as quantum systems evolve, information encoded in a system can get scrambled into an unrecognizable form, but cannot be irreversibly destroyed. Relativistic causality tells us that information that falls into a black hole, which then evaporates, cannot possibly escape and therefore must be destroyed. Who wins – quantum theory or causality? A widely held view is that quantum mechanics is the victor, that causality should be discarded as a fundamental principle. This calls into question the whole notion of spacetime — is it fundamental, or an approximate property that emerges from a deeper description of how nature works? If emergent, how does it emerge and from what? Fully addressing that challenge we leave to the physicists of the next quantum century.
I made it to graduate school at Harvard and the second half century of quantum mechanics ensued. My generation came along just a little too late to take part in erecting the standard model of particle physics, but I was drawn to particle physics by that intoxicating experimental and theoretical success. And many new ideas were swirling around in the mid and late 70s of which I’ll mention only two. For one, appreciation was growing for the remarkable power of topology in quantum field theory and condensed matter, for example the theory of topological solitons. While theoretical physics and mathematics had diverged during the first 50 years of quantum mechanics, they have frequently crossed paths in the last 50 years, and topology continues to bring both insight and joy to physicists. The other compelling idea was to seek insight into fundamental physics at very short distances by searching for relics from the very early history of the universe. My first publication resulted from contemplating a question that connected topology and cosmology: Would magnetic monopoles be copiously produced in the early universe? To check whether my ideas held water, I consulted not a particle physicist or a cosmologist, but rather a condensed matter physicist (Bert Halperin) who provided helpful advice. The lesson being that scientific opportunities often emerge where different subfields intersect, a realization that has helped to guide my own research over the following decades.
Looking back at my 50 years as a working physicist, what discoveries can the quantumists point to with particular pride and delight?
I was an undergraduate when Phil Anderson proclaimed that More is Different, but as an arrogant would be particle theorist at the time I did not appreciate how different more can be. In the past 50 years of quantum mechanics no example of emergence was more stunning than the fractional quantum Hall effect. We all know full well that electrons are indivisible particles. So how can it be that in a strongly interacting two-dimensional gas an electron can split into quasiparticles each carrying a fraction of its charge? The lesson being: in a strongly-correlated quantum world, miracles can happen. What other extraordinary quantum phases of matter await discovery in the next quantum century?
Another thing I did not adequately appreciate in my student days was atomic physics. Imagine how shocked those who elucidated atomic structure in the 1920s would be by the atomic physics of today. To them, a quantum measurement was an action performed on a large ensemble of similarly prepared systems. Now we routinely grab ahold of a single atom, move it, excite it, read it out, and induce pairs of atoms to interact in precisely controlled ways. When interest in quantum computing took off in the mid-90s, it was ion-trap clock technology that enabled the first quantum processors. Strong coupling between single photons and single atoms in optical and microwave cavities led to circuit quantum electrodynamics, the basis for today’s superconducting quantum computers. The lesson being that advancing our tools often leads to new capabilities we hadn’t anticipated. Now clocks are so accurate that we can detect the gravitational redshift when an atom moves up or down by a millimeter in the earth’s gravitational field. Where will the clocks of the second quantum century take us?
Surely one of the great scientific triumphs of recent decades has been the success of LIGO, the laser interferometer gravitational-wave observatory. If you are a gravitational wave scientist now, your phone buzzes so often to announce another black hole merger that it’s become annoying. LIGO would not be possible without advanced laser technology, but aside from that what’s quantum about LIGO? When I came to Caltech in the early 1980s, I learned about a remarkable idea (from Carl Caves) that the sensitivity of an interferometer can be enhanced by a quantum strategy that did not seem at all obvious — injecting squeezed vacuum into the interferometer’s dark port. Now, over 40 years later, LIGO improves its detection rate by using that strategy. The lesson being that theoretical insights can enhance and transform our scientific and technological tools. But sometimes that takes a while.
What else has changed since 50 years ago? Let’s give thanks for the arXiv. When I was a student few scientists would type their own technical papers. It took skill, training, and patience to operate the IBM typewriters of the era. And to communicate our results, we had no email or world wide web. Preprints arrived by snail mail in Manila envelopes, if you were lucky enough to be on the mailing list. The Internet and the arXiv made scientific communication far faster, more convenient, and more democratic, and LaTeX made producing our papers far easier as well. And the success of the arXiv raises vexing questions about the role of journal publication as the next quantum century unfolds.
I made a mid-career shift in research direction, and I’m often asked how that came about. Part of the answer is that, for my generation of particle physicists, the great challenge and opportunity was to clarify the physics beyond the standard model, which we expected to provide a deeper understanding of how nature works. We had great hopes for the new phenomenology that would be unveiled by the Superconducting Super Collider, which was under construction in Texas during the early 90s. The cancellation of that project in 1993 was a great disappointment. The lesson being that sometimes our scientific ambitions are thwarted because the required resources are beyond what society will support. In which case, we need to seek other ways to move forward.
And then the next year, Peter Shor discovered the algorithm for efficiently finding the factors of a large composite integer using a quantum computer. Though computational complexity had not been part of my scientific education, I was awestruck by this discovery. It meant that the difference between hard and easy problems — those we can never hope to solve, and those we can solve with advanced technologies — hinges on our world being quantum mechanical. That excited me because one could anticipate that observing nature through a computational lens would deepen our understanding of fundamental science. I needed to work hard to come up to speed in a field that was new to me — teaching a course helped me a lot.
Ironically, for 4 ½ years in the mid-1980s I sat on the same corridor as Richard Feynman, who had proposed the idea of simulating nature with quantum computers in 1981. And I never talked to Feynman about quantum computing because I had little interest in that topic at the time. But Feynman and I did talk about computation, and in particular we were both very interested in what one could learn about quantum chromodynamics from Euclidean Monte Carlo simulations on conventional computers, which were starting to ramp up in that era. Feynman correctly predicted that it would be a few decades before sufficient computational power would be available to make accurate quantitative predictions about nonperturbative QCD. But it did eventually happen — now lattice QCD is making crucial contributions to the particle physics and nuclear physics programs. The lesson being that as we contemplate quantum computers advancing our understanding of fundamental science, we should keep in mind a time scale of decades.
Where might the next quantum century take us? What will the quantum computers of the future look like, or the classical computers for that matter? Surely the qubits of 100 years from now will be much different and much better than what we have today, and the machine architecture will no doubt be radically different than what we can currently envision. And how will we be using those quantum computers? Will our quantum technology have transformed medicine and neuroscience and our understanding of living matter? Will we be building materials with astonishing properties by assembling matter atom by atom? Will our clocks be accurate enough to detect the stochastic gravitational wave background and so have reached the limit of accuracy beyond which no stable time standard can even be defined? Will quantum networks of telescopes be observing the universe with exquisite precision and what will that reveal? Will we be exploring the high energy frontier with advanced accelerators like muon colliders and what will they teach us? Will we have identified the dark matter and explained the dark energy? Will we have unambiguous evidence of the universe’s inflationary origin? Will we have computed the parameters of the standard model from first principles, or will we have convinced ourselves that’s a hopeless task? Will we have understood the fundamental constituents from which spacetime itself is composed?
There is an elephant in the room. Artificial intelligence is transforming how we do science at a blistering pace. What role will humans play in the advancement of science 100 years from now? Will artificial intelligence have melded with quantum intelligence? Will our instruments gather quantum data Nature provides, transduce it to quantum memories, and process it with quantum computers to discern features of the world that would otherwise have remained deeply hidden?
To a limited degree, in contemplating the future we are guided by the past. Were I asked to list the great ideas about physics to surface over the 50-year span of my career, there are three in particular I would nominate for inclusion on that list. (1) The holographic principle, our best clue about how gravity and quantum physics fit together. (2) Topological quantum order, providing ways to distinguish different phases of quantum matter when particles strongly interact with one another. (3) And quantum error correction, our basis for believing we can precisely control very complex quantum systems, including advanced quantum computers. It’s fascinating that these three ideas are actually quite closely related. The common thread connecting them is that all relate to the behavior of many-particle systems that are highly entangled.
Quantum error correction is the idea that we can protect quantum information from local noise by encoding the information in highly entangled states such that the protected information is inaccessible locally, when we look at just a few particles at a time. Topological quantum order is the idea that different quantum phases of matter can look the same when we observe them locally, but are distinguished by global properties hidden from local probes — in other words such states of matter are quantum memories protected by quantum error correction. The holographic principle is the idea that all the information in a gravitating three-dimensional region of space can be encoded by mapping it to a local quantum field theory on the two-dimensional boundary of the space. And that map is in fact the encoding map of a quantum error-correcting code. These ideas illustrate how as our knowledge advances, different fields of physics are converging on common principles. Will that convergence continue in the second century of quantum mechanics? We’ll see.
As we contemplate the long-term trajectory of quantum science and technology, we are hampered by our limited imaginations. But one way to loosely characterize the difference between the past and the future of quantum science is this: For the first hundred years of quantum mechanics, we achieved great success at understanding the behavior of weakly correlated many-particles systems relevant to for example electronic structure, atomic and molecular physics, and quantum optics. The insights gained regarding for instance how electrons are transported through semiconductors or how condensates of photons and atoms behave had invaluable scientific and technological impact. The grand challenge and opportunity we face in the second quantum century is acquiring comparable insight into the complex behavior of highly entangled states of many particles which are well beyond the reach of current theory or computation. This entanglement frontier is vast, inviting, and still largely unexplored. The wonders we encounter in the second century of quantum mechanics, and their implications for human civilization, are bound to supersede by far those of the first century. So let us gratefully acknowledge the quantum heroes of the past and present, and wish good fortune to the quantum explorers of the future.
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